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Informe GT Gamma Levels

Abr 2, 2020 | 0 Comentarios

Yesterday appeared to have done a bit more damage to many of our indicators than I was anticipating. The Tilt indicator dropped rather sharply and some of the realized volatility metrics made fresh highs. There was some sizable volume that showed up yesterday at the 2500 strike in both puts and calls, and that is interesting in relation to this “anti gravity” theory. 2500 is now the second largest put OI position and 4th largest call position. Its been weeks since we’ve seen any material call position under 2900. This is activity is similar to what we used to see in the positive gamma days wherein it would appear that some type of at the money straddles would show up, and this is the first time in many weeks we’ve seen something similar. To us this volume gives 2500 more “weight” and we are going to be watching this level as a key area to play off of, particularly if volume continues to print there.

 

Event Time EST Actual Forecast Previous
Unemployment Claims 3600K 3283K

 

Signal Name Latest Data Previous
SPX Ref: 2493.0 2460.75
VIX Ref: 53.25 57.07
Gamma Per Point: $-805.24MM $-845.06MM
Zero Gamma Level: 3051.0 3062.0
Vol Trig: 3000.0 3000.0
High Gamma Strike Resistance: 2530.0 Size: 0/10 2460.0
Top Abs. Gamma Strike: 2500.0 2500.0
Put Wall Support: 2500.0 Size: 3/10 2500.0
Call Wall Strike: 2530.0 Size: 0/10 2455.0
CP Gam Tilt: 0.56 0.51
Net Delta: $-8,466.08MM $-9,543.05MM

 

Model Forecast:
Intraday support/resistance levels (during high gamma periods): 2530.0, 2545.0, 2540.0, 2535.0, 2585.0

The Call Wall has moved to: 2530.0 from: 2455.0
The High Gamma Strike has moved to: 2530.0 from: 2460.0
SPX is below the volatility trigger. The 3024.0 level is first level of resistance and is critical as its the negative gamma threshold.
The trigger level of: 3000.0 will act as overhead resistance.
Watching VIX is key, if volatility comes in dealers will start to buy back shares as their short puts lose value. This could start a rally.
The total gamma has moved has moved UP: $-805.24MM from: $-845.06MM
Gamma is tilted towards Puts, may indicate puts are expensive
Negative gamma is moderate favoring further swings in the market