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Informe GT Gamma Levels

Abr 8, 2020 | 0 comentarios

This was apparently the largest SPX gain (cash session) every to close negative on the day. Curiously options volume on the day was decent but with a put call ratio of 1.1 – so that call volume we keep clamoring for comes on a day with a large reversal. The largest strikes for call volume was 2900 and 3000 and it looks to me like a fair amount of those were sold. As mentioned this morning there is some decent OI at 2600 and 2500 which suggests some support if we move lower. We were left questioning ourselves about this “divergence” between our options data and this rampant rally, and while we dont know what tomorrow brings we do think that things sync up in the 2500-2600 area. One admin note: if you visit https://spotgamma.com/portal/ we’ve made the SG Gamma Index historical data available for download (towards the bottom of the page). If you come up with any interesting charts or stats please let us know!

 

Event Time EST Actual Forecast Previous
No events

 

Signal Name Latest Data Previous
SPX Ref: 2664.75 2733.5
VIX Ref: 44.55 44.3
SG Gamma Index: -6.3
Gamma Per Point: $-468.89MM $-381.33MM
Zero Gamma Level: 3031.0 3044.0
Vol Trig: 3025.0 3025.0
High Gamma Strike Resistance: 2670.0 Size: 1/10 2780.0
Top Abs. Gamma Strike: 2700.0 2700.0
Put Wall Support: 2600.0 Size: 1/10 2750.0
Call Wall Strike: 2685.0 Size: 0/10 2780.0
CP Gam Tilt: 0.72 0.76
Net Delta: $-3,182.98MM $-1,236.04MM

 

Model Forecast:
Intraday support/resistance levels (during high gamma periods): 2670.0, 2655.0, 2635.0, 2685.0, 2660.0

The PutWall has moved to: 2600.0 from: 2750.0
The Call Wall has moved to: 2685.0 from: 2780.0
The High Gamma Strike has moved to: 2670.0 from: 2780.0
SPX is below the zero gamma level. The 3013.0 level is first level of resistance and is critical as its the negative gamma threshold.
Also watch the trigger level of: 3025.0as it may act as overhead resistance.
Watching VIX is key, if volatility comes in dealers will start to buy back shares as their short puts lose value. This could start a rally.
The total gamma has moved DOWN: $-468.89MM from: $-381.33MM
Gamma is tilted towards Puts, may indicate puts are expensive
Negative gamma is moderate favoring further swings in the market

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