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GT Gamma Levels

Feb 5, 2020 | 0 Comentarios

Note:
Nice move up in futures overnight pushes the high gamma strike to 3325 which is where we’d see resistance. We would look to 3300 as support. 3350 is very close in “gamma size” to 3325 (note 3350 is the “call wall strike” – its a leading indicator of our target level) and we’d watch options volumes closely for indications of large trading there. Overall gamma is quite large at ~$2bn indicating that we are in a mean reverting, lower volatility type market now.

 

Event Time EST Actual Forecast Previous
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 8:15am 157K 202K
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 10:00am 55.1 55.0
Crude Oil Inventories 10:30am 2.9M 3.5M

 

Signal Name Latest Data Previous
SPX Ref: 3320.0 3300.0
VIX Ref: 15.81 15.91
Gamma Per Point: $1,983,786,694.55 $1,497,219,995.95
Zero Gamma Level: 3237.0 3218.0
Vol Trig: 3240.0 3240.0
High Gamma Strike Resistance: 3325.0 Size: 6/10 3300.0
Put Wall Support: 3200.0 Size: 6/10 3200.0
Call Wall Strike: 3350.0 Size: 6/10 3350.0
CP Gam Tilt: 2.18 1.79
Net Delta: $8,542,168,217.00 $7,382,385,036.00

 

Model Forecast:
Intraday support/resistance levels (during high gamma periods): 3325.0, 3350.0, 3330.0, 3300.0, 3400.0

The High Gamma Strike has moved to: 3325.0 from: 3300.0
SPX is above the volatility trigger, resistance is: 3325.0 No Current support until: 3200.0
If the market breaks 3240.0 it could spark selling as negative gamma kicks in.
The total gamma has moved has moved UP: $1,983,786,694.55 from: $1,497,219,995.95
Gamma is tilted towards Calls, maybe indicating calls are expensive
Positive gamma is high. Markets tend to have little movement (Average High/Low Range of SPX PX = 0.50%) and markets tend to be mean reverting.